Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.483321 0.560759 0.645986 0.746656 0.862236 0.990698 1.144228
2025-05-04 0.363326 0.470478 0.601048 0.771437 0.987490 1.251863 1.599462
2025-05-11 0.291980 0.409333 0.563198 0.778799 1.072114 1.456132 1.995840
2025-05-18 0.240967 0.360682 0.527377 0.774950 1.131579 1.624690 2.355860
2025-05-25 0.201844 0.319997 0.493408 0.764340 1.174437 1.768808 2.691612
2025-06-01 0.172946 0.288774 0.467013 0.758418 1.219429 1.916110 3.042698
2025-06-08 0.145924 0.255755 0.432388 0.733602 1.230006 2.009625 3.318364
2025-06-15 0.137425 0.251405 0.441979 0.779235 1.355286 2.290912 3.913477
2025-06-22 0.118080 0.225467 0.412117 0.754821 1.361295 2.379567 4.202951
2025-06-29 0.102120 0.203121 0.385271 0.731601 1.365383 2.463305 4.489444
2025-07-06 0.089364 0.184818 0.363117 0.713563 1.375550 2.556688 4.799112
2025-07-13 0.082439 0.176745 0.358692 0.727378 1.444353 2.758562 5.318974
2025-07-20 0.078941 0.175299 0.367163 0.767635 1.568677 3.075762 6.086122
2025-07-27 0.073692 0.169538 0.366525 0.790084 1.661500 3.344161 6.789701
2025-08-03 0.067565 0.160967 0.359014 0.797459 1.724735 3.561322 7.414217
2025-08-10 0.061180 0.150852 0.346903 0.793514 1.763862 3.733929 7.965333
2025-08-17 0.055003 0.140292 0.332459 0.782660 1.786937 3.875735 8.466236
2025-08-24 0.049905 0.131531 0.320872 0.776603 1.819318 4.038912 9.025201
2025-08-31 0.044092 0.120142 0.301822 0.751217 1.806047 4.104380 9.382674
2025-09-07 0.043397 0.121609 0.313144 0.797897 1.960336 4.542953 10.584271
2025-09-14 0.038554 0.111542 0.295385 0.772923 1.946125 4.610618 10.974098
2025-09-21 0.034326 0.102479 0.278953 0.749170 1.932053 4.676784 11.365631
2025-09-28 0.030826 0.094890 0.265299 0.730718 1.928681 4.766652 11.818866